Elliptical-Cloister
0x2d5c40775ca3e2d614190d48199721cdcdc3fbf0
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$8.26
Total PnL
$-20.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
54 shares @ 12.9¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.18
$-0.78
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Maduro exiled to Qatar by March 31?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 23, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
2661 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 23, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
2660 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 23, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
2660 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
2644 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
2643 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
2642 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
2637 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.97Mar 24, 10:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of February?$7.00Mar 24, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of February?$6.98Feb 3, 08:04 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine hits Moscow by January 15?$1.03Feb 3, 07:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Druzkhivka by January 31?$1.04Feb 3, 07:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Machado by January 16?$1.04Feb 3, 07:56 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$1.05Feb 3, 07:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?$1.06Feb 3, 07:56 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$545.00Feb 3, 07:56 UTC
- REDEEMNegative GDP growth in Q3 2025?$0.00Jan 12, 09:19 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?$0.00Jan 12, 09:19 UTC
- REDEEMNegative GDP growth in Q3 2025?$1.01Jan 12, 07:54 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?$1.03Jan 12, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro exiled to Qatar by March 31?$1.00Jan 12, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Druzkhivka by January 31?$1.00Jan 12, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 12, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine hits Moscow by January 15?$1.00Jan 12, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Machado by January 16?$1.00Jan 12, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$436.00Jan 12, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?$1.00Jan 12, 07:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $41.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 23, 11:32 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 24, 10:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".