Massive-Crawdad
0x2d5e9c776d66816ce8ce6314138072837947cffe
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
110
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-794.15
Realised
$-3.07
Win rate
70%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 110- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 16?
5416 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 16?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
2200 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-15.60
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
1710 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
1200 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-6.80
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 3?
1009 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 25?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 1°C on January 17?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$0.00Mar 18, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 2PM ET$2.20Mar 17, 17:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$2.20Mar 17, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$2.68Mar 17, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$0.60Mar 17, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$0.60Mar 17, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$1.30Mar 17, 15:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 17?$0.26Mar 17, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 17?$1.00Mar 17, 15:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$2.53Mar 17, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$1.00Mar 17, 13:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$0.67Mar 17, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$1.00Mar 17, 13:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$1.38Mar 17, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$1.00Mar 17, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 17?$1.00Mar 17, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$1.00Mar 16, 16:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 16?$6.38Mar 16, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 16?$2.02Mar 16, 13:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9AM ET$2.02Mar 16, 13:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $2.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 14, 20:33 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 15:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".