Feline-Tattoo
0x2d665343743e7cb24053623f77058f8bcba96b1f
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$323.56
Total PnL
$-66.61
Realised
$24.87
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
181 shares @ 85.8¢·now 89.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$162.03
$6.73
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
88 shares @ 85.2¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$81.22
$6.38
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
31 shares @ 96.2¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$30.55
$0.55
- YES
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?
129 shares @ 30.9¢·now 13.2¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$17.08
$-22.92
- YES
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
16 shares @ 93.8¢·now 96.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$15.68
$0.37
- YES
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?
292 shares @ 6.8¢·now 3.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$10.52
$-9.42
- YES
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
244 shares @ 3.7¢·now 1.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$3.90
$-5.10
- YES
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?
648 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$2.59
$-2.41
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
405 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-44.00
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
24 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?$5.25Jul 2, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?$4.76Jul 2, 14:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?$0.07Jul 2, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-03?$20.09Jul 2, 13:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$21.03Jul 2, 13:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-03? AND Will United States win on 2026-07-01? AND Will England win on 2026-07-01?$1.89Jul 1, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?$20.05Jul 1, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?$20.75Jul 1, 01:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.94Jul 1, 01:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$40.54Jun 29, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.06Jun 29, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.59Jun 29, 12:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$22.64Jun 28, 18:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$9.35Jun 27, 02:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $11.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 8, 22:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.