Narrow-Walker
0x2d6f1502abccfa70c3238e9c296e7459e5e9f352
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$65.07
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
61 shares @ 92.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$56.18
$0.30
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
10 shares @ 85.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$8.39
$-0.10
- YES
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
1000 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.50
$-29.50
- UNDER
United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 0.5
9165 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Australia: United States O/U 0.5$166.66Jun 19, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Australia: United States O/U 0.5$36.69Jun 19, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Australia: United States O/U 0.5$102.97Jun 19, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Australia: United States O/U 0.5$26.56Jun 19, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Australia: United States O/U 0.5$441.18Jun 19, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Australia: United States O/U 0.5$16.43Jun 19, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Australia: United States O/U 0.5$15.00Jun 19, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Australia: United States O/U 0.5$19.86Jun 19, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Australia: United States O/U 0.5$0.88Jun 19, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Australia: United States O/U 0.5$3.53Jun 19, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Australia: United States O/U 0.5$17.65Jun 19, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Australia: United States O/U 0.5$2.65Jun 19, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Australia: United States O/U 0.5$8.82Jun 19, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Australia: United States O/U 0.5$213.10Jun 19, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Australia: United States O/U 0.5$8.82Jun 19, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Australia: United States O/U 0.5$0.18Jun 19, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Australia: United States O/U 0.5$1.76Jun 19, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Australia: United States O/U 0.5$1.33Jun 19, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Australia: United States O/U 0.5$35.29Jun 19, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Australia: United States O/U 0.5$0.94Jun 19, 17:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $104.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 14, 23:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 19, 19:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.