Lumbering-Beam
0x2d70d17da20f1305a36c33ed00b4b071bd9f5b05
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$6.2K
Win rate
98%
109 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
1100 shares @ 25.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-280.48
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
1000 shares @ 25.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-255.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
900 shares @ 25.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-229.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
745 shares @ 25.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-190.58
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
700 shares @ 25.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-178.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
700 shares @ 25.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-178.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
700 shares @ 25.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-178.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
700 shares @ 25.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-178.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
700 shares @ 25.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-178.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
700 shares @ 25.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-178.47
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$5.12Jul 20, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$1.05Jul 20, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$1.05Jul 20, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$1.05Jul 20, 16:03 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.80Jul 9, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$1.05Jun 25, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$1.05Jun 25, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$1.06Jun 25, 16:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$5.00Jun 24, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$4.23Jun 24, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$2.89Jun 24, 04:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$6.00Jun 24, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$2.26Jun 24, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$2.34Jun 24, 04:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$6.00Jun 24, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$1.89Jun 24, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$2.98Jun 24, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$2.59Jun 24, 03:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$6.00Jun 24, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$2.80Jun 24, 03:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
79/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
98% win rate over 109 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 25/100.
109 closed markets, 98% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $2.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 03:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 16:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 109 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.