Subtle-Capability
0x2d7113141f3b8020c57f98cda34a4b068c8f824f
Wallet digest
Activity score
28/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-822.74
Realised
$-103.73
Win rate
0%
9 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 18?
848 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 15?
833 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?
519 shares @ 23.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-120.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 27?
476 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 18?
455 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 4?
313 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-72.06
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?
250 shares @ 30.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-76.95
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 17?
238 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 19?
207 shares @ 24.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 4?$75.95Jun 4, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?$123.69May 29, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 27?$105.53May 27, 12:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 26?$110.65May 26, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 26?$52.69May 26, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 19?$52.65May 19, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 18?$53.29May 18, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 18?$105.46May 18, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 17?$104.06May 16, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 15?$53.29May 15, 11:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 14?$32.50May 14, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 14?$16.63May 14, 15:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 14?$200.81May 14, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 14?$103.64May 14, 13:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 14?$262.30May 14, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 14?$210.64May 14, 11:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 13?$0.33May 13, 12:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 13?$327.17May 13, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 13?$207.70May 13, 11:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?$852.76Apr 30, 16:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $124.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 07:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 11:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.