0x2d72939b1ea4ad7c564455e5a03490b91f77cca4
0x2d72939b1ea4ad7c564455e5a03490b91f77cca4
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$11.3K
Total PnL
$1.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
5000 shares @ 95.9¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.9K
$107.50
- NO
Iran leadership change by December 31?
3000 shares @ 68.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.4K
$345.00
- NO
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
3000 shares @ 48.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.8K
$375.00
- NO
Netanyahu out by July 31?
1229 shares @ 93.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.2K
$84.16
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?
461 shares @ 72.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$414.62
$82.92
- NO
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?
420 shares @ 74.3¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$401.10
$89.10
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 70.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$199.60
$59.60
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.17Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 26, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 25, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 23, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 21, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 15, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 12, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.18Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.18Jul 10, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
4 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $331.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 10:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.