Thick-Mistake
0x2d77927c1da5e3167a2306cb348eba552806933e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-34.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- FAZE
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs FUT Esports (BO1)
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 29?
358 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 22?
155 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 6AM ET
103 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 29?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 25?
40 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 21?
20 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 25?
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 29?$5.00Nov 29, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 29?$5.00Nov 29, 02:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 28?$19.09Nov 28, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 28?$9.00Nov 28, 14:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWho will win Jake Paul vs Anthony Joshua?$8.99Nov 28, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWho will win Jake Paul vs Anthony Joshua?$6.00Nov 27, 15:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 26?$5.87Nov 26, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 26?$4.00Nov 26, 13:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWho will win Jake Paul vs Anthony Joshua?$4.16Nov 26, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 25?$2.00Nov 25, 16:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWho will win Jake Paul vs Anthony Joshua?$2.08Nov 25, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 25?$2.00Nov 25, 05:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWho will win Jake Paul vs Anthony Joshua?$1.32Nov 25, 04:42 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$0.73Nov 25, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?$1.00Nov 23, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$1.00Nov 23, 16:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 24?$11.51Nov 23, 08:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 23?$12.08Nov 23, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 22?$1.00Nov 22, 16:47 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$0.95Nov 22, 16:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $5.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 15, 10:02 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 29, 02:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".