Damp-Thigh
0x2d7823cd013afabd6fa239e335746ce7e6a3f923
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
111
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$385.64
Realised
$523.52
Win rate
100%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 111- YES
Will Chaos Labs launch a token by December 31, 2027?
747 shares @ 24.0¢·now 21.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$156.88
$-22.12
- YES
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?
251 shares @ 41.4¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$104.01
$0.33
- YES
Will Valantis launch a token by June 30, 2027?
170 shares @ 53.8¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$102.57
$11.29
- YES
Will Prime Intellect launch a token by December 31, 2027?
335 shares @ 31.5¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$95.36
$-10.05
- YES
Will Chaos Labs launch a token by September 30, 2027?
576 shares @ 24.2¢·now 16.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2027$92.23
$-47.07
- YES
Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2027?
247 shares @ 34.7¢·now 35.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$86.28
$0.67
- YES
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2027?
293 shares @ 25.8¢·now 24.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$70.41
$-5.21
- YES
Will Relay launch a token by June 30, 2027?
238 shares @ 33.2¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$70.10
$-8.77
- YES
Will Noble launch a token by June 30, 2027?
181 shares @ 35.0¢·now 37.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$67.01
$3.65
- YES
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2027?
123 shares @ 43.8¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$48.65
$-5.26
Recent activity
- REDEEMTargu Mures: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Irina Fetecau$1.00Jul 27, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYTargu Mures: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Irina Fetecau$1.00Jul 27, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYNoble FDV above $50M one day after launch?$5.00Jul 27, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYNoble FDV above $50M one day after launch?$7.00Jul 27, 07:51 UTC
- REWARD$2.38Jul 27, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYNoble FDV above $50M one day after launch?$0.87Jul 26, 08:24 UTC
- REWARD$2.46Jul 26, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CZ post 0-19 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?$9.55Jul 25, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CZ post 0-19 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?$10.85Jul 25, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2027?$45.88Jul 24, 05:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2027?$12.74Jul 23, 19:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fomo launch a token by December 31 2027?$6.94Jul 23, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?$5.00Jul 22, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYAbstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?$9.91Jul 22, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYAbstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?$9.91Jul 22, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYAbstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?$9.91Jul 22, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYAbstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?$9.91Jul 22, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYAbstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?$9.91Jul 22, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYAbstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?$9.91Jul 22, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYAbstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?$9.91Jul 22, 09:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
39/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 16 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
16 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $9.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 18, 02:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 27, 13:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.