Impossible-Raffle
0x2d837b70ff5be29ed14cac91838f7ae29250e70f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-462.09
Realised
$5.44
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will Taro Kono be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?
2453 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-49.99
- YES
Will the US not strike another country before 2027?
2000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Fumitake Fujita be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?
1618 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
Will Toshimitsu Motegi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?
836 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Yōko Kamikawa be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?
737 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
667 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.64
- NO
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 28?
512 shares @ 31.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-160.00
- YES
Will the US strike Mexico next?
390 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.79
- FIGUEIREDO
UFC 324: Figueiredo vs. Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Prelims)
224 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$5.00Apr 15, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$5.00Apr 15, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$4.99Apr 15, 11:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$10.17Apr 15, 11:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$10.13Apr 15, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$5.00Apr 15, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$5.00Apr 15, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$2.32Apr 15, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$1.00Apr 15, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$5.00Apr 15, 11:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$48.46Apr 15, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$17.00Apr 15, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$1.00Apr 15, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$2.00Apr 15, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$2.60Apr 15, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$2.00Apr 15, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$7.42Mar 24, 07:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$0.00Mar 24, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$7.42Mar 24, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$4.00Feb 16, 08:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $10.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 8, 08:06 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 15, 11:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".