0x2d91c9a020cea181557bbfc3241b411cdf3cf592
0x2d91c9a020cea181557bbfc3241b411cdf3cf592
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$-835.39
Realised
$49.46
Win rate
62%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
200 shares @ 82.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$170.00
$6.00
- YES
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
200 shares @ 65.0¢·now 60.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$120.50
$-9.50
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?
257 shares @ 23.2¢·now 20.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$51.40
$-8.28
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3571 shares @ 1.4¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$48.21
$-1.78
- NO
Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
50 shares @ 59.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$46.25
$16.75
- NO
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?
50 shares @ 78.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$44.00
$5.00
- YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
200 shares @ 23.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$41.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$34.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by July 31?
33 shares @ 29.0¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$32.24
$22.68
- YES
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3305 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$28.10
$-8.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill André Ceciliano win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?$2.80Jun 13, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?$5.60Jun 13, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$1.62Jun 13, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$8.10Jun 13, 23:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$13.00Jun 13, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31, 2026?$5.60Jun 13, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$9.49Jun 13, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?$3.75Jun 13, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?$14.00Jun 13, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$9.45Jun 13, 20:18 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$13.00Jun 13, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$9.62Jun 13, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Prymorske by June 30, 2026?$0.28Jun 13, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Prymorske by June 30, 2026?$4.92Jun 13, 19:06 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$10.34Jun 13, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$9.20Jun 13, 17:42 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$4.00Jun 13, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba economic deal by July 31, 2026?$9.20Jun 13, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$3.08Jun 13, 17:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$11.00Jun 13, 16:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $6.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 12:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 23:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.