Ancient-Riot
0x2da1d83c95b26a907e48d03b88ae1654e6df97d1
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-303.80
Realised
$-1.81
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?
3202 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-69.99
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by November 30?
517 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-31.00
- YES
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 7?
232 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?
211 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Russia capture Siversk by November 30?
181 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- NO
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by November 30?
158 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 7?
157 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
115 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Israel strike 2 countries in October 2025?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?$7.00Dec 22, 19:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?$2.11Dec 22, 19:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Sumy by December 31?$1.19Dec 22, 19:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Slovainsk in 2025?$1.32Dec 22, 19:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31?$0.81Dec 17, 18:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Orikhiv by December 31?$0.91Dec 17, 18:31 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$0.00Dec 10, 23:11 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$0.00Dec 10, 23:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Huliaipole by November 30?$0.00Dec 10, 15:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Huliaipole by November 30?$0.00Dec 10, 15:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Huliaipole by November 30?$0.00Dec 10, 15:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Huliaipole by November 30?$0.00Dec 10, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?$8.00Dec 8, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?$10.00Dec 8, 03:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Khatnie by December 31?$13.10Dec 8, 03:40 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother US military action against Iran before 2026?$2.20Dec 8, 03:38 UTC
- TRADESELLZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?$2.69Dec 8, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?$10.00Dec 2, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?$5.00Dec 2, 18:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?$0.00Dec 2, 18:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $5.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 26, 11:42 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 22, 19:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.