Ugly-Finisher
0x2da86458ad33d26cdca35392efdfc801c0abc5ff
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
103
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-238.80
Realised
$3.43
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 103- YES
Will Simon Yates win the Tour de France 2025?
2124 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-26.01
- YES
Will Carlos Rodriguez win the Tour de France 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Joao Almeida win the Tour de France 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Adam Yates win the Tour de France 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?
833 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?
423 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?
408 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$272.87May 16, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$3.00Mar 28, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$3.00Mar 28, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$3.00Mar 28, 18:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$0.00Mar 28, 17:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$0.00Mar 28, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$3.00Mar 28, 17:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$0.00Mar 28, 17:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$4.53Mar 28, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$3.23Mar 28, 17:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$3.68Mar 28, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$3.00Mar 28, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$3.00Mar 28, 17:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$2.75Mar 28, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$1.00Mar 23, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$3.00Mar 23, 20:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$2.06Mar 23, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$1.00Mar 23, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$3.00Mar 23, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$3.00Mar 23, 20:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $8.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 22:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 22:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".