Superb-Winery
0x2dadf0884358c29dc9514b738ca92c2201a55758
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.5K
Realised
$-111.17
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in September 2025?
12219 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-753.92
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
5882 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-999.99
- YES
Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?
2783 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-667.87
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in September 2025?
1793 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-119.67
- YES
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?
1724 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?
1288 shares @ 61.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-794.72
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in September 2025?
510 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-24.31
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?
472 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-52.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on November 11?
458 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-41.66
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in September 2025?
449 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-27.29
Recent activity
- TRADESELLLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$772.73Dec 26, 09:28 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$745.07Dec 26, 09:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with MrBeast in 2026?$249.33Dec 26, 09:28 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$6.2KDec 26, 09:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump remove his Rob Reiner post?$465.18Dec 26, 09:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2025?$990.37Dec 26, 09:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?$2.6KDec 26, 09:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?$515.67Dec 25, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?$699.79Dec 24, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?$6.53Dec 22, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?$167.91Dec 22, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?$968.35Dec 22, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$746.38Dec 22, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$995.22Dec 21, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$6.3KDec 21, 13:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$661.86Dec 21, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$359.32Dec 17, 11:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Stranger Things: Season 5 be #1 for 2 straight weeks?$7.73Dec 16, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$646.10Dec 16, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump remove his Rob Reiner post?$441.96Dec 16, 17:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $944.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 1, 15:02 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 26, 09:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".