Imperfect-Niche
0x2dc55c760774f05b6a5e50eea77cdaf825be704f
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-26.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Democrats and Republicans both lose the 2024 Presidential Election?
3000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Fnatic win LoL Worlds 2024?
2282 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?
21 shares @ 24.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?
19 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Biden finish his term?$5.07Aug 1, 19:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the AfD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?$10.13Aug 1, 19:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in scoring?$31.25Aug 1, 19:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 550-574 times Jan 3-Jan 10?$0.47Jan 9, 12:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 550-574 times Jan 3-Jan 10?$1.00Jan 9, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden finish his term?$5.00Jan 9, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in scoring?$25.00Jan 9, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?$5.00Jan 9, 11:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Broncos win Super Bowl 2025?$9.78Jan 9, 11:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 550-574 times Jan 3-Jan 10?$0.53Jan 9, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 550-574 times Jan 3-Jan 10?$6.00Jan 9, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?$5.00Jan 9, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Broncos win Super Bowl 2025?$11.00Jan 9, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?$10.00Jan 9, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats and Republicans both lose the 2024 Presidential Election?$6.00Nov 3, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fnatic win LoL Worlds 2024?$10.00Oct 11, 11:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
13 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $7.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 11, 11:34 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 1, 19:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.