0x2dd0cd9062cf674c15a5b7bc63e632b62cf64048
0x2dd0cd9062cf674c15a5b7bc63e632b62cf64048
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
56
Open notional
$38.98
Total PnL
$-803.16
Realised
$-23.39
Win rate
30%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- NO
Will Powell say "Simulation" during March press conference?
6 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$5.88
$0.88
- NO
Will Powell say "China" during March press conference?
6 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$5.75
$0.75
- YES
Will GroenLinks–Labour Party (GL–PvdA) win the most seats in Utrecht’s 2026 municipal election?
6 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$5.75
$0.75
- NO
Will three people dissent the March Fed decision?
6 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$5.56
$0.56
- NO
Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during March press conference?
5 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$5.38
$0.38
- YES
Will Powell say "Housing" during March press conference?
5 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$5.38
$0.38
- YES
Will Heart for The Hague (HvDH) win the most seats in The Hague’s 2026 municipal election?
5 shares @ 94.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$5.30
$0.30
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
1170 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-45.96
- UP
Solana Up or Down - March 16, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
751 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-99.67
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - March 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
435 shares @ 22.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-99.22
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
33/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
30% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.