Flawed-Gorilla
0x2dd7097f08736af5fe4706097cba566232aa28d2
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-28.9K
Realised
$-398.92
Win rate
1%
171 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will LeBron James play for the Portland Trail Blazers in 2026-27?
7800 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.79
- SPURS
Knicks vs. Spurs
1430 shares @ 61.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-876.00
- YES
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?
1085 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-217.00
- YES
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?
1038 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-301.00
- YES
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?
1030 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-278.00
- BILIBILI GAMING
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs
1024 shares @ 47.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-490.00
- NO
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?
1020 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- ENGLAND
Spread: England (-1.5)
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score
970 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-582.00
- UNDER
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5
843 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-505.78
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$2.11Aug 17, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYReal Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: Real Racing Club O/U 2.5$87.99Aug 16, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYReal Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: Real Racing Club O/U 2.5$95.00Aug 16, 16:11 UTC
- TRADESELLArsenal FC vs. Manchester City: O/U 3.5$260.59Aug 16, 16:03 UTC
- TRADESELLArsenal FC vs. Manchester City: O/U 4.5$536.71Aug 16, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYArsenal FC vs. Manchester City: O/U 4.5$296.80Aug 16, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYArsenal FC vs. Manchester City: O/U 3.5$123.24Aug 16, 15:08 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana$103.33Aug 16, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana$61.26Aug 16, 12:01 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner$155.84Aug 16, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYArsenal FC vs. Manchester City: Both Teams to Score$16.30Aug 16, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner$57.96Aug 16, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYArsenal FC vs. Manchester City: Both Teams to Score$3.47Aug 16, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYArsenal FC vs. Manchester City: Both Teams to Score$19.68Aug 16, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYArsenal FC vs. Manchester City: Both Teams to Score$1.33Aug 16, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYArsenal FC vs. Manchester City: Both Teams to Score$180.37Aug 16, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4AM ET$0.40Aug 16, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4AM ET$44.89Aug 16, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4AM ET$46.73Aug 16, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 2AM ET$33.14Aug 16, 06:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
64/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
1% win rate over 171 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
171 closed markets, 1% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $68.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 11, 16:00 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 17, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 171 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.