Vain-Hatbox
0x2de1c4c4e3a0bbd0e7996e14c9d30760552a5dec
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-569.97
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on July 31?
29198 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-49.99
- YES
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on July 31?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?
7658 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-49.99
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Meta have the top AI model on July 31?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
3846 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on July 31?
2720 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
2647 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-90.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?
1930 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?
936 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLXi Jinping out in 2025?$10.1KOct 22, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out in 2025?$10.2KOct 22, 12:31 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3)$94.00Oct 22, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3)$100.00Oct 22, 10:20 UTC
- TRADESELLXi Jinping out in 2025?$9.8KOct 22, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out in 2025?$9.7KOct 21, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out in 2025?$92.94Oct 21, 09:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$122.91Oct 20, 10:30 UTC
- TRADESELLXi Jinping out in 2025?$5.1KOct 20, 10:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$3.7KOct 19, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$3.7KOct 19, 01:47 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$3.6KOct 18, 14:55 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1)$54.00Oct 18, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$3.7KOct 18, 10:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CarMax (KMX) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?$97.25Oct 18, 10:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cintas (CTAS) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?$99.59Oct 18, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CarMax (KMX) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?$100.00Oct 18, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cintas (CTAS) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?$100.00Oct 18, 10:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$3.7KOct 18, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$3.7KOct 18, 09:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $2.7K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 18, 03:39 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 22, 12:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.