Favorable-Lumber
0x2de2ea543f0092a4b4a45c36477d3192fd504b7c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-28.36
Realised
$0.18
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?
113 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-3.04
- NO
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 launch before April?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the AFD be part of the next German government?
70 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.01
- NO
Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?
38 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-17.48
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill DOGE balance the budget in 2025?$25.80Mar 19, 19:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 500-549 times Feb 21-28?$0.00Mar 6, 23:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 700-749 times Feb 21-28?$0.00Mar 6, 23:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 Superheavy?$15.55Mar 6, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 Superheavy?$12.10Mar 6, 23:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 800-849 times Feb 21-28?$2.89Feb 25, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 850-899 times Feb 21-28?$5.22Feb 25, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 800-849 times Feb 21-28?$2.89Feb 25, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 850-899 times Feb 21-28?$6.00Feb 25, 17:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 550-599 times Feb 21-28?$1.84Feb 24, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 700-749 times Feb 21-28?$1.00Feb 23, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 550-599 times Feb 21-28?$2.00Feb 22, 21:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 600-649 times Feb 21-28?$0.88Feb 22, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 600-649 times Feb 21-28?$0.96Feb 22, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 500-549 times Feb 21-28?$0.28Feb 22, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 500-549 times Feb 21-28?$0.68Feb 22, 07:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 950-999 times Feb 14-21?$0.00Feb 22, 07:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 600-649 times Feb 21-28?$1.12Feb 22, 07:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 650-699 times Feb 21-28?$1.20Feb 22, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 550-599 times Feb 21-28?$1.00Feb 22, 07:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $4.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 19, 15:13 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 19, 19:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.