Swift-Prune
0x2deb79cc149191dd5a0f33651545f4f68f549e9a
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$403.67
Total PnL
$56.60
Realised
$42.84
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
661 shares @ 40.5¢·now 45.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$300.89
$33.12
- YES
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?
366 shares @ 15.3¢·now 17.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$65.13
$9.12
- NO
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?
19 shares @ 87.2¢·now 88.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$16.58
$0.17
- YES
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?
379 shares @ 1.5¢·now 3.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.76
$8.94
- YES
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?
98 shares @ 7.1¢·now 6.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.30
$-0.71
- YES
Will Panama win on 2026-06-23?
130 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-16.90
- SCOTLAND
Scotland vs. Brazil: Team to Take First Corner
50 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-16.99
- YES
Lucas Paquetá: 1+ goals
23 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?$0.01Jun 25, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?$6.04Jun 25, 15:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?$41.57Jun 25, 12:53 UTC
- REDEEMScotland vs. Brazil: Brazil O/U 6.5 Corners$4.00Jun 25, 00:28 UTC
- REDEEMRayan: 1+ goals$100.00Jun 25, 00:27 UTC
- REWARD$2.92Jun 25, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYScotland vs. Brazil: Team to Take First Corner$1.18Jun 24, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYScotland vs. Brazil: Team to Take First Corner$0.52Jun 24, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYScotland vs. Brazil: Brazil O/U 6.5 Corners$2.00Jun 24, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYScotland vs. Brazil: Team to Take First Corner$5.00Jun 24, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYScotland vs. Brazil: Team to Take First Corner$10.30Jun 24, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYLucas Paquetá: 1+ goals$3.07Jun 24, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYRayan: 1+ goals$75.00Jun 24, 20:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?$25.88Jun 24, 19:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?$107.73Jun 24, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Panama win on 2026-06-23?$16.90Jun 23, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?$117.26Jun 23, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?$41.55Jun 23, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?$4.92Jun 23, 20:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?$190.41Jun 23, 20:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $47.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 16:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 25, 15:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.