Inferior-Insurance
0x2dec6252de94d1c96ebc5db0065e56d3e07cd6bc
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
115
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-231.48
Realised
$-6.79
Win rate
45%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 115- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 11AM ET
70 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
61 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-7.49
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
55 shares @ 11.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-6.56
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7PM ET
51 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
51 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.80
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
49 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
43 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-3.74
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 7PM ET
41 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 3AM ET
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
33 shares @ 12.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$1.06Jun 28, 12:28 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$0.16Jun 28, 11:19 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$0.89Jun 28, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$1.04Jun 28, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$1.44Jun 28, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$1.02Jun 28, 11:13 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$1.02Jun 28, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$1.03Jun 28, 11:09 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 27, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$0.06Jun 27, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 27, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$1.04Jun 27, 23:31 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 27, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$1.32Jun 27, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 27, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$1.02Jun 27, 23:23 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 27, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$1.07Jun 27, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 27, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$1.02Jun 27, 22:22 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 27, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$0.36Jun 27, 22:19 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 27, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$1.09Jun 27, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 27, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$1.07Jun 27, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 27, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$1.06Jun 27, 22:16 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 27, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$1.49Jun 27, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 27, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$1.03Jun 27, 22:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
50/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
45% win rate over 22 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
22 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 26, 22:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 28, 12:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.