Grizzled-Disengagement
0x2df25be3006bb72baf0e7ca872a6f83d4b1a17cf
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
84
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.7K
Realised
$42.35
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 84- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2588 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?
2500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- HANWHA LIFE ESPORTS
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)
2303 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-220.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2PM ET
1179 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-68.45
- YES
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?
899 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?
842 shares @ 10.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-91.00
- NO
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
703 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-55.00
- NO
Will Zcash flip Monero by December 31?
680 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?
663 shares @ 22.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?
643 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-89.00
Recent activity
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.29Jul 19, 01:04 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.22Jul 15, 00:35 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$2.54Jul 9, 21:14 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.26Jul 7, 00:51 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.28Jul 6, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.37Jul 4, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.24Jul 3, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.23Jul 2, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.56Jul 1, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.00Jun 30, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win on 2026-06-29?$2.05Jun 28, 22:02 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.71Jun 28, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway vs. France end in a draw?$9.26Jun 26, 20:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Egypt win on 2026-06-26?$9.43Jun 26, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win on 2026-06-26?$95.36Jun 26, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?$71.81Jun 26, 07:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $53.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 14:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 01:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.