Watchful-Sultan
0x2df5dd592c4e1bfb6e302130a6500120f2db6c5e
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$90.09
Total PnL
$-9.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 6?
90 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$90.09
$0.09
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 22?
1170 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.34
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 12?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on November 11?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
630 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.52
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?
390 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.17
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 6?$90.01Jun 6, 06:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?$90.09Jun 6, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?$90.01May 27, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?$90.09May 26, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?$90.00May 22, 09:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 17?$90.09May 22, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 17?$90.01May 17, 02:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 7?$90.09May 11, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 7?$90.01May 6, 12:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 2?$90.09May 6, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 2?$90.01May 2, 02:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 26?$90.08May 2, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 26?$90.00Apr 25, 12:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 20?$90.17Apr 25, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 20?$90.00Apr 20, 11:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$90.09Apr 20, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$90.00Apr 16, 12:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 12?$90.08Apr 16, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 12?$90.00Apr 12, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$89.08Apr 12, 11:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $83.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 11:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 06:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.