Simplistic-Costume
0x2df8ede5f4ac1854889887f2a4f2a6d049f14adb
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
2875 shares @ 21.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$733.13
$129.38
- NO
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?
341 shares @ 81.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$279.62
$3.41
- BUCKNELL BISON
Navy Midshipmen vs. Bucknell Bison
3500 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- NORTHEASTERN HUSKIES
Northeastern Huskies vs. Hofstra Pride
3400 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-578.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUkraine election called by December 31, 2026?$276.21Jun 2, 01:34 UTC
- TRADESELLPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?$392.63May 22, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?$74.38May 14, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?$323.61May 14, 08:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win Eurovision 2026?$39.41Apr 28, 06:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win Eurovision 2026?$32.65Apr 28, 06:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win Eurovision 2026?$50.96Apr 28, 06:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win Eurovision 2026?$50.65Apr 28, 06:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win Eurovision 2026?$50.65Apr 28, 06:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win Eurovision 2026?$42.74Apr 28, 06:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win Eurovision 2026?$34.32Apr 28, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win Eurovision 2026?$35.48Apr 23, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win Eurovision 2026?$42.83Apr 23, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win Eurovision 2026?$15.82Apr 23, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win Eurovision 2026?$39.55Apr 23, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win Eurovision 2026?$55.03Apr 23, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win Eurovision 2026?$55.03Apr 23, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win Eurovision 2026?$46.44Apr 23, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win Eurovision 2026?$37.29Apr 23, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$102.48Apr 22, 07:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $228.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 00:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 01:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".