Kaleidoscopic-Antler
0x2dfacf379c1e7736703c4945b9c1fbabf2e9f1b6
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-10.7K
Realised
$533.00
Win rate
90%
190 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?
1459 shares @ 37.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-553.10
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
1000 shares @ 48.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-481.26
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
600 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
500 shares @ 43.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-217.44
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
400 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-103.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
324 shares @ 45.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-146.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
300 shares @ 32.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-96.65
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
300 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-104.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
200 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-90.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
200 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-62.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$8.31Jul 11, 20:06 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$7.27Jul 1, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$26.57Jun 30, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$145.70Jun 30, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$353.03Jun 30, 18:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$200.00Jun 30, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$226.05Jun 30, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$12.48Jun 30, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$7.50Jun 30, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$5.99Jun 30, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$30.00Jun 30, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$4.04Jun 30, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$24.97Jun 30, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$1.70Jun 30, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$3.33Jun 30, 18:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$200.00Jun 30, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$0.90Jun 30, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$14.40Jun 30, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$3.53Jun 30, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$4.28Jun 30, 18:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
86/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
90% win rate over 190 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
190 closed markets, 90% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $49.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 16:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 20:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 190 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.