Burly-Smith
0x2dfae4dc5b789c22b72f4ad628acb0b9657de524
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
65
Open notional
$206.98
Total PnL
$-4.4K
Realised
$-18.13
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 65- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?
207 shares @ 9.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$206.98
$188.36
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
11992 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-23.98
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
11300 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-11.30
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
7400 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-15.98
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
4817 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-9.63
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
3500 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-10.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
3292 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-37.55
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 39°F or below on March 5?
3168 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-6.34
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on March 6?$1.57Mar 5, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on March 6?$6.22Mar 5, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on March 6?$6.55Mar 5, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on March 6?$6.30Mar 5, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on March 6?$0.66Mar 5, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on March 6?$3.78Mar 5, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on March 6?$3.32Mar 5, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on March 6?$1.26Mar 5, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on March 6?$0.37Mar 5, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on March 6?$2.89Mar 5, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on March 6?$6.89Mar 5, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on March 6?$0.50Mar 5, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on March 6?$1.68Mar 5, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?$3.14Mar 5, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?$0.02Mar 5, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?$0.50Mar 5, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?$1.47Mar 5, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?$1.11Mar 5, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?$0.02Mar 5, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?$0.44Mar 5, 08:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 04:10 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 5, 15:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".