0x2e0b70d482e6b389e81dea528be57d825dd48070
0x2e0b70d482e6b389e81dea528be57d825dd48070
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
69
Open notional
$486.6K
Total PnL
$-31.2K
Realised
$1.3K
Win rate
60%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 69- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
153597 shares @ 95.4¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$152.6K
$6.0K
- NO
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
113442 shares @ 94.6¢·now 95.3¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$108.1K
$689.73
- NO
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?
83111 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$82.8K
$249.75
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
75601 shares @ 98.2¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$75.1K
$811.88
- NO
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?
38035 shares @ 97.4¢·now 98.2¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$37.3K
$286.97
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
15626 shares @ 83.5¢·now 84.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$13.2K
$163.26
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?
8545 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.5K
$24.06
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?
5378 shares @ 94.1¢·now 92.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$5.0K
$-85.63
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026?
1600 shares @ 94.1¢·now 96.4¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.5K
$36.00
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
1447 shares @ 98.6¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.4K
$9.21
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?$22.07Jul 25, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?$129.66Jul 24, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?$0.07Jul 24, 16:26 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?$3.6KJul 24, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$1.5KJul 23, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?$72.15Jul 23, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?$2.98Jul 23, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?$27.78Jul 23, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?$19.84Jul 23, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?$1.00Jul 23, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?$1.00Jul 23, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?$1.00Jul 23, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?$1.00Jul 23, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?$1.00Jul 23, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?$9.99Jul 22, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?$2.68Jul 22, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?$248.00Jul 22, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?$1.41Jul 22, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?$34.72Jul 22, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?$2.13Jul 22, 03:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$252.1K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
Jun 1, 02:40 UTC → Jul 5, 01:57 UTC
- BUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$37.3K@93¢Jun 20, 14:12 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 20 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 4 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
20 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
limited
4 ledger trades
Top market concentration
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
$191.0K · 76% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $677.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 17, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 07:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.