Past-Seizure
0x2e0e3518903fef489c441db085788da6fe3cfe76
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$37.50
Total PnL
$4.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
38 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$37.50
$22.50
- KARAN SINGH
Samsun: Karan Singh vs Koki Matsuda
26 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$0.00
$-9.62
- YES
Will Bilibili Gaming win MSI 2026?
15 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.50
- YUE YUAN
Livesport Prague Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Yue Yuan
14 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.78
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSamsun: Karan Singh vs Koki Matsuda$9.92Jul 27, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYLivesport Prague Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Yue Yuan$3.92Jul 21, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bilibili Gaming win MSI 2026?$4.59Jul 7, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15.27Jun 23, 11:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dogecoin reach $0.20 in April?$16.05Jun 11, 02:30 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$36.30Jun 11, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$27.59May 25, 08:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Won Hee-ryong win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$0.03Apr 29, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dogecoin reach $0.20 in April?$5.00Apr 29, 11:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Won Hee-ryong win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$31.93Apr 29, 11:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $30 April 13-19?$17.02Apr 29, 11:51 UTC
- SPLITWill Won Hee-ryong win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$10.00Apr 29, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dogecoin reach $0.20 in April?$11.00Apr 29, 11:49 UTC
- SPLITWill Won Hee-ryong win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$22.00Apr 29, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $30 April 13-19?$6.00Apr 13, 09:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$29.97Apr 13, 09:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?$15.02Apr 13, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$30.00Apr 13, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $30 April 13-19?$11.00Apr 13, 09:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $0.70 March 9-15?$13.01Mar 24, 06:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $26.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 12, 02:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 27, 11:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.