Early-Grabbag
0x2e1240fdcc7d9806dab21be552083ac0b37f5d15
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$29.63
Total PnL
$-26.37
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?
20 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$20.12
$0.12
- NO
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
2 shares @ 87.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$2.28
$0.28
- NO
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
2 shares @ 96.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.07
$0.07
- NO
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
2 shares @ 96.6¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.06
$0.06
- NO
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.55
$0.55
- NO
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?
1 shares @ 96.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.51
$-0.49
- NO
Will the US strike Somalia next?
250 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 February 9-15?
166 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by February 12?
162 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?$5.78Mar 1, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$1.00Feb 15, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $64,000 February 9-15?$1.00Feb 15, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $76,000 February 9-15?$1.00Feb 15, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $64,000 February 9-15?$2.00Feb 15, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $72,000 February 9-15?$2.00Feb 15, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $74,000 February 9-15?$2.00Feb 15, 17:38 UTC
- REDEEMPacers vs. Knicks: O/U 223.5$1.69Feb 15, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$1.00Feb 11, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?$20.00Feb 11, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?$5.00Feb 11, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump deport less than 250,000?$1.00Feb 11, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "How to Train Your Dragon" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?$1.00Feb 11, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?$1.00Feb 11, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Somalia next?$2.00Feb 11, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on February 12?$1.00Feb 11, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) finish week of February 9 above $425?$2.00Feb 11, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami finish with the second most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?$2.00Feb 11, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$1.00Feb 11, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$1.00Feb 11, 00:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $2.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 10, 23:50 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 13:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.