Foolish-Ear
0x2e1d176bdabca6efdeb8083afab3a90c5c19e165
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$97.00
Total PnL
$-65.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
97 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$97.00
$0.10
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
170 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-45.90
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
100 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$96.91May 14, 04:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$65.95May 13, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$19.77May 13, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$25.62May 13, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$2.94May 13, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?$79.45May 13, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?$79.37Apr 15, 07:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$79.37Mar 29, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$79.13Mar 25, 22:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $60,000 on March 16?$79.13Mar 25, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $60,000 on March 16?$79.05Mar 15, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$79.02Feb 28, 06:22 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$0.03Jan 31, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$78.94Jan 30, 11:33 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - January 30, 2AM ET$0.40Jan 30, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 30, 2AM ET$0.83Jan 30, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 30, 2AM ET$0.75Jan 30, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 30, 2AM ET$0.16Jan 30, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 30, 2AM ET$0.75Jan 30, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 30, 2AM ET$1.50Jan 30, 07:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $16.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 29, 11:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 04:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.