Insignificant-Forelimb
0x2e1f908b32bced89c0010fad8f35c469cfbd8fde
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
150
Open notional
$4.9K
Total PnL
$-15.37
Realised
$280.39
Win rate
53%
119 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 150- NO
Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
383 shares @ 95.3¢·now 97.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$373.16
$8.41
- NO
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
702 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$354.52
$-10.53
- NO
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
399 shares @ 75.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$307.39
$7.98
- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
399 shares @ 59.7¢·now 66.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$263.66
$25.08
- NO
Will Bruno Fernandes be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
250 shares @ 94.1¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$246.63
$11.38
- NO
Will Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
275 shares @ 85.1¢·now 80.7¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$221.72
$-12.36
- NO
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?
282 shares @ 73.7¢·now 73.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$205.80
$-2.00
- NO
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
209 shares @ 88.2¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$188.20
$3.87
- YES
Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
210 shares @ 92.6¢·now 88.8¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$186.37
$-8.08
- NO
Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
133 shares @ 94.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$127.92
$3.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$267.33Jun 14, 10:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$5.68Jun 14, 10:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?$7.00Jun 14, 10:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 21, 2026?$17.90Jun 14, 10:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$23.37Jun 14, 10:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$2.05Jun 14, 10:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$3.64Jun 14, 10:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$6.24Jun 14, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?$6.30Jun 14, 10:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 21, 2026?$1.00Jun 14, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$63.86Jun 14, 10:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$12.81Jun 14, 10:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$4.65Jun 14, 10:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?$6.16Jun 14, 10:12 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$3.25Jun 14, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$120.95Jun 14, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$8.86Jun 14, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$28.71Jun 14, 10:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026?$78.97Jun 14, 10:10 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$4.50Jun 14, 10:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $41.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 09:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 10:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 119 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.