Bountiful-Eyelids
0x2e24f06090919b1d100495a8f7f9531e1ad5175d
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$14.26
Total PnL
$-3.3K
Realised
$3.89
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
US recession by end of 2026?
16 shares @ 69.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$14.26
$3.08
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
12144 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-226.74
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
11887 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-288.84
- YES
Over $3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
11303 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-134.94
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10194 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-540.29
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
8670 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-715.29
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
5299 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-529.93
- NO
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?
325 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-104.08
- NO
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?
275 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-101.62
- NO
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
249 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-87.04
Recent activity
- REDEEMChicago White Sox vs. Texas Rangers$160.80Jul 21, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago White Sox vs. Texas Rangers$58.16Jul 20, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago White Sox vs. Texas Rangers$4.56Jul 20, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$25.65Jul 8, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$58.94Jul 8, 05:54 UTC
- REDEEMWashington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox$153.99Jul 1, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWashington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox$48.13Jun 30, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWashington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox$3.92Jun 30, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWashington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox$3.92Jun 30, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWashington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox$3.92Jun 30, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWashington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox$3.92Jun 30, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWashington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox$3.92Jun 30, 13:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 29, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 26, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 25, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 23, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $20.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 17:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 03:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.