Thorny-Insolence
0x2e2512d3eeb2854ae6df60c112da4956dc5a8ed5
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
50
Open notional
$4.11
Total PnL
$-12.6K
Realised
$-5.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 50- NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $600B and $700B at market close on IPO day?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Trump meet with Friedrich Merz in January 2026?
1 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?
1 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 5, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
1440 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-720.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
800 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-400.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
600 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Friedrich Merz in January 2026?$1.00Jan 26, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?$1.00Jan 21, 06:52 UTC
- REDEEMFogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?$1.06Jan 21, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYFogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?$1.00Jan 15, 05:43 UTC
- REDEEMCilia Flores released from custody by January 9, 2026?$1.01Jan 15, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYCilia Flores released from custody by January 9, 2026?$1.00Jan 7, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on December 11?$1.00Jan 7, 06:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $580 before 2026?$1.01Jan 7, 06:11 UTC
- REDEEMGOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31?$1.02Jan 7, 06:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.02Jan 7, 06:11 UTC
- REDEEMGemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?$1.02Jan 7, 06:11 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?$1.02Jan 7, 06:11 UTC
- REDEEMXi Jinping out in 2025?$1.02Jan 7, 06:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$1.03Jan 7, 06:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$1.04Jan 7, 06:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?$1.04Jan 7, 06:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?$1.05Jan 7, 06:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon Eric Adams in 2025?$1.05Jan 7, 06:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hollow Knight: Silksong win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.06Jan 7, 06:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michael Mizrachi win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$2.01Jan 7, 06:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $100.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 5, 06:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 26, 08:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.