Immense-Honoree
0x2e3e1a3c969a89054841cc590e3fb8446c926297
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$10.41
Total PnL
$0.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Tom Tugendhat be next UK prime minister?
6 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2024$6.01
$0.01
- NO
Trump in jail before election day?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$1.20
$0.20
- NO
MetaMask airdrop by June 30?
1 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2024$1.11
$0.01
- NO
Will Elizabeth Warren win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2024$1.06
$0.00
- NO
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$1.02
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elizabeth Warren win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$1.06Jun 3, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwell airdrop by June 30?$0.20Jun 3, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Tugendhat be next UK prime minister?$6.00Jun 3, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump in jail before election day?$1.00Jun 3, 13:29 UTC
- REDEEMDid Keith Gill (RoaringKitty) sell his X account?$0.64Jun 3, 13:29 UTC
- REDEEM$DJT market cap less than $4b on May 31?$1.55Jun 3, 13:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 115 or more times?$6.07Jun 3, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUY$DJT market cap less than $4b on May 31?$1.54May 26, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 115 or more times?$6.00May 26, 15:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 115 or more times?$6.45May 26, 15:21 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum ETF approved by May 31?$0.00May 24, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 115 or more times?$6.00May 19, 02:51 UTC
- REDEEMNYC-Dublin portal back online by Friday?$0.95May 19, 02:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 150 or more times?$6.01May 19, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Alcaraz win the 2024 French Open Men's Singles?$0.20May 16, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYMetaMask airdrop by June 30?$1.10May 16, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYLinea airdrop by June 30?$0.60May 16, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?$0.60May 16, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any other Democrat Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.60May 16, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYNYC-Dublin portal back online by Friday?$0.60May 16, 14:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
17 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $2.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 14:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 13:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.