Rubbery-Churn
0x2e3ea056400d81c42e2ce26ef25fda4ec5caabea
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$129.7K
Total PnL
$54.1K
Realised
$60.5K
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
127250 shares @ 49.8¢·now 58.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$74.3K
$10.8K
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
68192 shares @ 2.5¢·now 41.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$28.4K
$26.7K
- NO
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
62250 shares @ 50.0¢·now 41.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$25.9K
$-5.2K
- NO
Spain vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first?
1170 shares @ 89.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$1.0K
$5.85
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
107 shares @ 0.8¢·now 41.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$44.08
$43.26
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
107 shares @ 0.8¢·now 26.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$28.62
$27.79
- YES
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
107 shares @ 0.8¢·now 3.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.26
$2.44
- YES
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
107 shares @ 0.8¢·now 2.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.62
$1.79
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
107 shares @ 0.8¢·now 1.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.66
$0.83
- YES
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
107 shares @ 0.8¢·now 1.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.50
$0.67
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first?$1.0KJul 16, 13:28 UTC
- MERGEWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15.0KJul 16, 13:27 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$6.16Jul 16, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$12.57Jul 16, 00:16 UTC
- SPLITWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.2KJul 15, 22:54 UTC
- REDEEMArgentina to score first vs. England?$1.8KJul 15, 21:25 UTC
- REDEEMEngland vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5$8.0KJul 15, 21:15 UTC
- MERGEWill Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$179.99Jul 15, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.62Jul 15, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$28.51Jul 15, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$14.63Jul 15, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$125.34Jul 15, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.02Jul 15, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina to score first vs. England?$1.0KJul 15, 18:59 UTC
- MERGEWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.4KJul 15, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5$2.7KJul 15, 18:00 UTC
- MERGEWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.1KJul 15, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5$4.4KJul 15, 17:44 UTC
- MERGEWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.0KJul 15, 16:45 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$22.26Jul 15, 00:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
12/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $922.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 16:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 13:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.