Unimportant-Venture
0x2e423a228df8949284083adcd97b7068684a0dfe
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
112
Open notional
$33.16
Total PnL
$566.49
Realised
$760.22
Win rate
91%
64 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 112- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
4205 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$6.31
$-3.78
- YES
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
520 shares @ 2.7¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.98
$-8.17
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?
188 shares @ 0.5¢·now 2.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.26
$4.38
- YES
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?
14 shares @ 13.6¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.45
$0.55
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-11 House seat?
20 shares @ 23.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.10
$-2.50
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
5 shares @ 34.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.02
$0.32
- YES
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
75 shares @ 0.8¢·now 2.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.72
$1.10
- YES
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
15 shares @ 3.8¢·now 8.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.32
$0.75
- YES
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?
5 shares @ 9.0¢·now 19.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.98
$0.53
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
10 shares @ 8.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.75
$-0.05
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?$0.04Jul 29, 17:48 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?$1.80Jul 29, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?$6.91Jul 29, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?$0.00Jul 29, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?$0.02Jul 29, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?$0.00Jul 29, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?$0.00Jul 29, 02:01 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?$0.60Jul 28, 21:36 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?$0.60Jul 28, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?$1.87Jul 28, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?$0.00Jul 28, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?$0.07Jul 28, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?$0.89Jul 28, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?$0.24Jul 28, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by July 31?$0.15Jul 28, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$0.06Jul 28, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by July 31?$0.17Jul 27, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?$1.00Jul 27, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by July 27?$0.04Jul 27, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by July 27?$0.07Jul 27, 17:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
73/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
91% win rate over 64 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 28/100.
64 closed markets, 91% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 21:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 17:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 64 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.