Impossible-Dishwasher
0x2e4f218f04c3e6c8be30c886768819f46170f3c6
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$13.26
Total PnL
$-366.55
Realised
$-4.04
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?
110 shares @ 11.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.80
$-3.30
- YES
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?
74 shares @ 12.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.06
$-4.80
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
6 shares @ 40.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.40
$-2.08
- NO
Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?
290 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-28.10
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
150 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-46.50
- YES
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?
120 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-21.60
- YES
Will Travis Kelce rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
118 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?
104 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-60.36
- NO
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
100 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
88 shares @ 44.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-39.48
Recent activity
- TRADESELLSpain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5 AND Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 0.5$48.33Jul 19, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND Spain vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?$9.99Jul 19, 14:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win on 2026-07-19? AND Spain vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?$9.85Jul 19, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First Half$5.21Jul 18, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5 AND Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 0.5$5.00Jul 18, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-19? AND Spain vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?$13.00Jul 18, 12:06 UTC
- TRADESELLEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score AND England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND England vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total Corners$23.42Jul 15, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score AND England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND England vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total Corners$23.77Jul 15, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score AND Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?$9.86Jul 14, 19:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$33.64Jul 12, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners AND Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners AND Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Switzerland?$2.07Jul 12, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Switzerland?$2.51Jul 12, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:19 UTC
- TRADESELLNorway vs. England: O/U 7.5 Total Corners$2.07Jul 11, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: O/U 7.5 Total Corners$3.48Jul 11, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: O/U 7.5 Total Corners$2.96Jul 11, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Switzerland? AND Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain?$1.99Jul 11, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? AND Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score AND Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? AND Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time? AND Norway vs. England: O/U 7.5 Total Corners AND Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to Extra Time? AND Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 10.5 Total Corners$10.00Jul 11, 20:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $10.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 00:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 21:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.