Troubled-Windshield
0x2e4f41c333aa00744185406e6cc888e17e523529
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$6.33
Total PnL
$-126.66
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
67 shares @ 15.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.33
$-3.67
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
1000 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- NO
Will Russia capture Zarichne by February 28, 2026?
707 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Cilia Flores released from custody by January 31, 2026?
667 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by January 31?
629 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?
316 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Russia capture Zaliznychne by February 28?
307 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-36.00
- YES
Body-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31?
298 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will anyone audibly fart during Trump's WEF 2026 speech?
174 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
125 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Zaliznychne by February 28?$36.00Feb 21, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$0.78Jan 20, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$0.22Jan 20, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$0.01Jan 20, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$0.24Jan 20, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$0.36Jan 20, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$0.24Jan 20, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$0.24Jan 20, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$0.06Jan 19, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$0.08Jan 19, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$0.01Jan 19, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$0.06Jan 19, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$0.03Jan 19, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$0.79Jan 19, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$0.36Jan 19, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$1.00Jan 19, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$0.03Jan 19, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$0.24Jan 19, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$0.24Jan 19, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$0.20Jan 19, 23:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 19, 20:32 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 21, 13:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.