Jittery-Twist
0x2e5ad1f9ad90fc750e0b3e92399a63fb5b3d8662
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
190
Open notional
$2.88
Total PnL
$-899.71
Realised
$-20.79
Win rate
9%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 190- YES
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 29?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 29?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.94
$-0.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 29?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on July 27?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 29?
127 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-7.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 1?
126 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 25?
120 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.98
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 25?
120 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.94
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 29?$1.04Jul 29, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 29?$1.02Jul 29, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 29?$1.04Jul 29, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$1.04Jul 29, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$1.05Jul 29, 01:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$2.44Jul 29, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$1.04Jul 29, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$1.04Jul 29, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$1.03Jul 29, 01:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$0.00Jul 29, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$1.04Jul 29, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$5.27Jul 29, 01:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$0.00Jul 28, 22:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$10.00Jul 28, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$5.17Jul 28, 22:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$11.63Jul 28, 22:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$30.75Jul 28, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$5.20Jul 28, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$5.25Jul 28, 22:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$20.00Jul 28, 22:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
9% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $5.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 01:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 05:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.