Delayed-Stranger
0x2e5c7d695c87233c65e3a687cadd5dc9e77f4804
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$586.45
Total PnL
$36.61
Realised
$1.27
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 215+
180 shares @ 94.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$179.89
$9.89
- YES
Will Biden finish his term?
106 shares @ 90.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$105.56
$10.06
- YES
Will Satoshi Nakamoto's identity not be proven in 2024?
100 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$100.00
$5.03
- YES
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
100 shares @ 95.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$100.00
$4.30
- NO
U.S. recession before May 2025?
100 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$100.00
$16.00
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$1.00
$0.06
- YES
Will Kamala Harris get 76-78m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?
13 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Biden finish his term?$45.50Nov 8, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. recession before May 2025?$84.00Nov 8, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$95.70Nov 8, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris get 76-78m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?$10.00Nov 8, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 7, 23:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency? $0.00Nov 7, 23:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?$0.00Nov 7, 23:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 7, 23:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 7, 23:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$25.00Nov 7, 23:22 UTC
- REDEEMTrump sentenced to 48 or more months prison time?$69.97Nov 7, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden finish his term?$50.00Oct 13, 04:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?$47.33Oct 13, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency? $100.00Oct 11, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?$100.00Oct 11, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1.00Oct 11, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$5.00Oct 11, 06:43 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?$63.01Oct 11, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?$0.00Oct 11, 06:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.10Oct 6, 05:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $57.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 17, 23:47 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 8, 06:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".