Nervous-Beating
0x2e5f7db5bcb7e863ae1478818078acc92c6543cd
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-70.89
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on July 9?
225 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.15
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on June 1?
195 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.90
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 24?
93 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.23
- NO
Will the price of XRP be between $2.00 and $2.10 on January 17?
82 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.53
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 26?
71 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.14
- YES
Will US Lecce win on 2026-01-03?
59 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-4.11
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
58 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.04
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - January 6, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
58 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.45
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $150 on January 12?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 12?
53 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.97
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 9?$131.67Jul 9, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 9?$130.35Jul 9, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on July 9?$3.37Jul 8, 16:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 2?$148.76Jun 2, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 2?$145.78Jun 1, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on June 1?$4.17Jun 1, 01:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 23?$148.97May 23, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 23?$0.22May 22, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 23?$147.56May 22, 17:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 1?$20.87May 16, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 11?$1.70May 11, 02:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 31?$56.86May 9, 20:31 UTC
- REDEEMMiddle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks$95.00Apr 30, 20:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 8?$0.00Apr 19, 20:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $2.00 on January 17?$0.00Apr 10, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 1?$18.49Mar 31, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 31?$0.82Mar 30, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 31?$53.54Mar 30, 20:18 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down on January 22?$0.00Mar 30, 20:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 4AM ET$0.00Mar 29, 19:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $35.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 18, 07:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 16:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.