Advanced-Petitioner
0x2e62eddf5acffa59a97706de674348a2e600b22e
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
106
Open notional
$4.4K
Total PnL
$160.49
Realised
$808.82
Win rate
61%
57 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 106- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
697 shares @ 58.1¢·now 41.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$285.83
$-119.18
- NO
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?
607 shares @ 42.1¢·now 42.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$254.93
$-0.68
- NO
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
445 shares @ 53.1¢·now 56.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$251.57
$15.19
- NO
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
259 shares @ 96.4¢·now 97.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$250.97
$1.68
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
260 shares @ 95.9¢·now 96.3¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$250.12
$0.91
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
330 shares @ 76.8¢·now 75.4¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$249.05
$-4.42
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
286 shares @ 89.2¢·now 85.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$244.35
$-10.53
- NO
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?
531 shares @ 62.2¢·now 42.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$225.79
$-104.89
- NO
Will Qairat FK win on 2026-07-29?
392 shares @ 57.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$221.49
$-2.00
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
377 shares @ 47.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$167.97
$-9.49
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 29?$0.58Jul 29, 00:47 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$46.28Jul 29, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?$8.58Jul 29, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?$0.22Jul 29, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?$21.10Jul 29, 00:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$1.82Jul 29, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$0.05Jul 29, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$0.05Jul 29, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$0.05Jul 29, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$0.05Jul 29, 00:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on July 29?$0.09Jul 29, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 29?$8.10Jul 29, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$0.14Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?$10.34Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?$4.08Jul 29, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 29?$23.10Jul 29, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?$33.81Jul 29, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 29?$0.15Jul 29, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 29?$0.65Jul 29, 00:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
77/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
61% win rate over 57 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 32/100.
57 closed markets, 61% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $19.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 22:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 57 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.