Cloudy-Mustard
0x2e6e59e03635057170fee2665d0d24edf6a1a6b6
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.8K
Realised
$224.93
Win rate
96%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
680 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-26.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
612 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-37.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
562 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?
418 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-33.04
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
391 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-26.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
369 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
350 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?
345 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
342 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-23.60
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$0.01Jul 20, 12:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$6.30Jul 20, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$5.09Jul 20, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$1.04Jul 20, 12:21 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$5.77Jul 9, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYPanama vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 1.5 AND Croatia to score first vs. Panama?$5.05Jun 23, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$2.13Jun 23, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYPanama to score first vs. Croatia?$3.06Jun 23, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYPanama vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score AND Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?$6.11Jun 23, 22:07 UTC
- TRADESELLEngland vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners$16.10Jun 23, 22:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$0.00Jun 23, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners$10.11Jun 23, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score in First Half$4.10Jun 23, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Ghana: England 1st Half O/U 1.5$5.09Jun 23, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score in First Half$4.10Jun 23, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ghana win on 2026-06-23?$2.06Jun 23, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$1.07Jun 23, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$1.07Jun 23, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$2.13Jun 23, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$1.06Jun 23, 18:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
47/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
96% win rate over 23 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
23 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $5.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 02:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 12:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.