Sad-Ephemeris
0x2e6e83292c5f9e2f30bbd1a0b5324e3b254da305
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$58.63
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?$58.46May 22, 04:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $2.80 in April?$58.48May 22, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $2.80 in April?$58.26Apr 24, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 in March?$13.03Apr 24, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $400 in March?$16.02Apr 24, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hyperliquid dip to $16 in March?$29.22Apr 24, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid dip to $16 in March?$29.16Mar 25, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 in March?$13.00Mar 25, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $400 in March?$16.00Mar 25, 08:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $20 in February?$58.16Mar 25, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $20 in February?$58.10Feb 28, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 15?$6.00Dec 14, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 15?$1.9KDec 14, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $5,600 in November?$56.55Dec 9, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $5,600 in November?$56.49Nov 26, 10:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $300 in October?$56.50Nov 26, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $300 in October?$56.44Oct 26, 15:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150K in September?$56.44Oct 26, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150K in September?$56.38Sep 28, 04:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $8000 in April?$56.38Sep 26, 05:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $311.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 25, 13:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 04:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.