Squiggly-Princess
0x2e73f6d6af7a7a7ceb28c1bce29d938128b3c4c2
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
124
Open notional
$551.31
Total PnL
$639.60
Realised
$382.29
Win rate
100%
41 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 124- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?
1140 shares @ 0.2¢·now 5.9¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$66.69
$63.91
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE by September 30, 2026?
7820 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.7¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$50.83
$39.10
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq by September 30, 2026?
3880 shares @ 0.1¢·now 1.2¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$46.56
$41.78
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy by September 30, 2026?
3922 shares @ 0.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$41.18
$35.74
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?
8074 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$32.30
$20.03
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey by September 30, 2026?
4080 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.7¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$28.56
$22.90
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt by September 30, 2026?
4400 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.6¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$26.40
$20.32
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026?
2520 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.9¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$23.94
$18.19
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?
6020 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$21.07
$13.70
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria by September 30, 2026?
1480 shares @ 0.2¢·now 1.1¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$16.28
$12.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in Australia?$0.03Jul 29, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in Australia?$0.88Jul 28, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in Australia?$0.87Jul 28, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in Australia?$0.30Jul 28, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in Australia?$0.09Jul 28, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sean Duffy be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?$0.02Jul 28, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?$0.17Jul 27, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?$0.13Jul 27, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?$0.13Jul 27, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?$0.23Jul 27, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?$0.13Jul 27, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$3.14Jul 24, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$1.60Jul 24, 15:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026?$7.36Jul 24, 09:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026?$1.60Jul 24, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russell T. Vought be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?$0.02Jul 24, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$11.75Jul 23, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$2.76Jul 23, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$9.80Jul 23, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Ballmer be richest person on December 31?$0.06Jul 23, 04:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
73/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 41 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 27/100.
41 closed markets, 100% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $2.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 17, 14:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 03:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 41 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.