Fearful-Inspiration
0x2e78bda98e8f760fb0f686b00905659d6972b430
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$5.26
Total PnL
$-107.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will the 2025 MLB World Series have more than 15 million viewers
5 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$5.26
$0.26
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
2333 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-70.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - November 14, 2AM ET
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 2AM ET
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- POSITIVE
Ethereum ETF Flows on November 13?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2AM ET
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - November 14, 2AM ET
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
259 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Nicolas Sarkozy in jail by March 31?
79 shares @ 10.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNicolas Sarkozy in jail by March 31?$3.15Nov 26, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2AM ET$2.00Nov 14, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - November 14, 2AM ET$2.00Nov 14, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 14, 2AM ET$2.00Nov 14, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - November 14, 2AM ET$2.00Nov 14, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum ETF Flows on November 13?$2.00Nov 14, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$10.00Nov 12, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$50.00Nov 11, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$20.00Nov 11, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Heat$5.00Nov 11, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 2025 MLB World Series have more than 15 million viewers$5.00Nov 10, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYNicolas Sarkozy in jail by March 31?$5.00Nov 10, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$1.00Nov 10, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew pandemic in 2025?$1.00Nov 10, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2025?$1.00Nov 10, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Nov 10, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Nov 10, 22:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $6.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 10, 22:26 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 26, 20:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".