Amusing-Lipoprotein
0x2e793b68f0c75613c9eae3d857de230844d91999
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$309.70
Total PnL
$142.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
250 shares @ 8.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$250.00
$230.00
- YES
Will England win on 2026-07-05?
26 shares @ 38.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$26.32
$16.32
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
22 shares @ 23.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$21.74
$16.74
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
11 shares @ 44.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$11.36
$6.36
- YES
Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.28
$-0.72
- YES
Belgium leading at halftime?
1374 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Tunisia vs. Netherlands end in a draw?
567 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-25?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?
235 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
217 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Belgium: Draw at halftime?$3.08Jul 7, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States leading at halftime?$1.03Jul 7, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: United States 3 - 2 Belgium?$5.14Jul 7, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-07-06?$5.13Jul 7, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$5.20Jul 5, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-07-06?$5.11Jul 5, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-05?$10.19Jul 5, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?$5.10Jul 5, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Norway: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$5.13Jul 5, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYParaguay to score first vs. France?$2.05Jul 4, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBelgium leading at halftime?$1.03Jul 1, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBelgium leading at halftime?$1.03Jul 1, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Germany 3 - 3 Paraguay?$1.03Jun 29, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Paraguay?$5.13Jun 29, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Germany 1 - 3 Paraguay?$1.03Jun 29, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$5.12Jun 29, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?$10.20Jun 29, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-27?$10.21Jun 28, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Panama vs. England end in a draw?$0.13Jun 27, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Panama vs. England end in a draw?$10.28Jun 27, 22:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $7.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 27, 20:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 7, 00:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.