Delightful-Litter
0x2e7fae3b97c031340ac3a9ac723fc3f26f6d66c7
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$90.27
Total PnL
$-111.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?
50 shares @ 71.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Oct 27, 2026$33.75
$-1.75
- YES
Will Ares Management (ARES) beat quarterly earnings?
50 shares @ 51.0¢·now 48.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$24.00
$-1.50
- NO
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026?
20 shares @ 82.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$15.90
$-0.50
- NO
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?
50 shares @ 32.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.50
$-9.50
- YES
Will Indiana Hoosiers win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
50 shares @ 12.6¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2027$4.50
$-1.80
- NO
Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?
50 shares @ 76.0¢·now 6.8¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$3.38
$-34.63
- NO
Will "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber ft. Nicki Minaj" be the #2 song this week?
20 shares @ 23.0¢·now 3.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.67
$-3.93
- YES
Will Moonshot be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?
20 shares @ 38.0¢·now 3.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.61
$-6.99
- NO
Will Procter & Gamble say "Fiscal" 10+ times during earnings call?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 2.8¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.55
$-0.45
- YES
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #2 US song this week?
20 shares @ 35.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.41
$-6.59
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Sister" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$17.80Jul 28, 18:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Air Force" or "Space Force" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$15.80Jul 28, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?$16.00Jul 28, 16:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 6–10 seconds by July 31, 2026?$13.40Jul 28, 15:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?$1.28Jul 28, 15:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Penske (PAG) beat quarterly earnings?$15.46Jul 28, 15:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Worker" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$5.64Jul 28, 15:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?$5.24Jul 28, 15:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fox (FOXA) beat quarterly earnings?$3.19Jul 28, 15:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?$1.69Jul 28, 15:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$28.01Jul 28, 15:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,176,000 on September 30?$15.95Jul 28, 15:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?$7.13Jul 28, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?$7.37Jul 28, 13:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?$14.47Jul 28, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?$14.50Jul 28, 11:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Been By Now - Morgan Wallen" be the #2 US song this week?$8.60Jul 28, 06:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Denny Hamlin win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship?$32.50Jul 28, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denny Hamlin win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship?$32.50Jul 28, 03:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?$46.55Jul 28, 02:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $16.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 10:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 18:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.