Critical-Yarmulke
0x2e82b229d9aaa5068fbf8a77f9fcbd7398b7f0a5
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$42.36
Total PnL
$-7.38
Realised
$-7.74
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
12 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$12.24
$0.02
- NO
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?
9 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.53
$0.03
- NO
Will Keir Starmer be the first leader out in 2025?
7 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.69
$0.03
- NO
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
5 shares @ 97.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.20
$0.15
- NO
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
5 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.09
$0.09
- NO
Will Trump nominate Larry Lindsey as the next Fed chair?
5 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.62
$0.07
- YES
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2025 NBA Finals?
10 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?$8.50Sep 16, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Larry Lindsey as the next Fed chair?$4.55Sep 16, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be the first leader out in 2025?$6.66Sep 16, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$12.22Sep 16, 13:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Charlotte Hornets win the 2025 NBA Finals?$1.00Sep 16, 13:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2025 NBA Finals?$1.44Sep 16, 13:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2025 President’s Trophy?$2.44Sep 16, 13:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Ottawa Senators win the 2025 President’s Trophy?$3.00Sep 16, 13:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$3.61Sep 16, 13:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Caris LeVert win 2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year?$4.14Sep 16, 13:38 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. recession before May 2025?$4.52Sep 16, 13:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amen Thompson win 2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year?$5.06Sep 16, 13:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Athletic Bilbao win La Liga?$5.35Sep 16, 13:38 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?$6.64Sep 16, 13:38 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?$7.10Sep 16, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$5.05Apr 21, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$5.00Apr 21, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. recession before May 2025?$4.50Apr 21, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?$7.00Apr 21, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?$6.60Apr 21, 02:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $522.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 27, 06:56 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 16, 13:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.