Mad-Presume
0x2e85b7f11be1bb37aea6f204b94dcbc8de9b0b4c
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$6.38
Total PnL
$-15.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on April 17?
6 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$6.38
$0.19
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- PARIVISION
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- CANUCKS
Senators vs. Canucks
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- UTAH
Spread: Utah (-1.5)
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 10?
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 9?
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- JAZZ
Knicks vs. Jazz
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- PAPER REX
Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG - Map 2 Winner
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- PARIVISION
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on April 17?$6.20Apr 16, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on March 18?$6.38Apr 16, 13:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 36°F or higher on March 16?$5.85Mar 17, 18:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 13?$5.89Mar 17, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on March 19?$0.60Mar 17, 12:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?$0.00Mar 17, 07:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?$2.57Mar 17, 07:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 11?$5.00Mar 17, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C or below on March 13?$5.82Mar 17, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 13?$5.83Mar 17, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on March 10?$5.90Mar 17, 07:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 57 million views on day 4?$6.46Mar 17, 07:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump’s approval rating be at least 43.0 on March 13, 2026?$7.68Mar 17, 07:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Scotland win the 2026 Six Nations championship?$8.43Mar 17, 07:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?$9.35Mar 17, 07:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 17?$4.80Mar 17, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 36°F or higher on March 16?$5.44Mar 15, 22:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 30-31°F on March 16?$4.98Mar 15, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 17?$5.44Mar 15, 13:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Scream 7" 3rd Weekend Box Office be greater than 9m?$4.63Mar 15, 10:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $3.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 21:49 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 16, 13:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".